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Andrianakis, Ioannis; Vernon, Ian R; McCreesh, Nicky; McKinley, Trevelyan J; Oakley, Jeremy E; Nsubuga, Rebecca N; Goldstein, Michael; White, Richard G; (2015) Bayesian history matching of complex infectious disease models using emulation: a tutorial and a case study on HIV in Uganda. PLoS computational biology, 11 (1). e1003968-. ISSN 1553-734X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003968

Ashton, Ruth A; Kefyalew, Takele; Rand, Alison; Sime, Heven; Assefa, Ashenafi; Mekasha, Addis; Edosa, Wasihun; Tesfaye, Gezahegn; Cano, Jorge; Teka, Hiwot; +4 more... Reithinger, Richard; Pullan, Rachel L; Drakeley, Chris J; Brooker, Simon J; (2015) Geostatistical modeling of malaria endemicity using serological indicators of exposure collected through school surveys. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 93 (1). pp. 168-177. ISSN 0002-9637 DOI: https://doi.org/10.4269/ajtmh.14-0620

Baguelin, Marc; Camacho, Anton; Flasche, Stefan; Edmunds, W John; (2015) Extending the elderly- and risk-group programme of vaccination against seasonal influenza in England and Wales: a cost-effectiveness study. BMC medicine, 13 (1). 236-. ISSN 1741-7015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-015-0452-y

Bilcke, Joke; Chapman, Ruth; Atchison, Christina; Cromer, Deborah; Johnson, Helen; Willem, Lander; Cox, Martin; Edmunds, William John; Jit, Mark; (2015) Quantifying Parameter and Structural Uncertainty of Dynamic Disease Transmission Models Using MCMC: An Application to Rotavirus Vaccination in England and Wales. Medical decision making, 35 (5). pp. 633-647. ISSN 0272-989X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/0272989X14566013 Full text not available from this repository.

Brooker, Simon J; Nikolay, Birgit; Balabanova, Dina; Pullan, Rachel L; (2015) Global feasibility assessment of interrupting the transmission of soil-transmitted helminths: a statistical modelling study. The Lancet infectious diseases, 15 (8). pp. 941-950. ISSN 1473-3099 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(15)70042-3

Camacho, Anton; Eggo, Rosalind M; Funk, Sebastian; Watson, Conall H; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; (2015) Estimating the probability of demonstrating vaccine efficacy in the declining Ebola epidemic: a Bayesian modelling approach. BMJ open, 5 (12). e009346-. ISSN 2044-6055 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2015-009346

Camacho, Anton; Kucharski, Adam; Aki-Sawyerr, Yvonne; White, Mark A; Flasche, Stefan; Baguelin, Marc; Pollington, Timothy; Carney, Julia R; Glover, Rebecca; Smout, Elizabeth; +3 more... Tiffany, Amanda; Edmunds, W John; Funk, Sebastian; (2015) Temporal Changes in Ebola Transmission in Sierra Leone and Implications for Control Requirements: a Real-time Modelling Study. PLoS currents, 7. ecurrents.outbreaks.406ae55e83ec0b5193e30856b9235e-. ISSN 2157-3999 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/currents.outbreaks.406ae55e83ec0b5193e30856b9235ed2

Chalabi, Z; Hajat, S; Wilkinson, P; Erens, B; Jones, L; Mays, N; (2015) Evaluation of the cold weather plan for England: modelling of cost-effectiveness. Public health, 137. pp. 13-19. ISSN 0033-3506 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.puhe.2015.11.001

Chalabi, Zaid; Das, Payel; Milner, James; Davies, Mike; Hamilton, Ian; Jones, Benjamin; Shrubsole, Clive; Wilkinson, Paul; (2015) Risk analysis of housing energy efficiency interventions under model uncertainty. Energy and buildings, 109. pp. 174-182. ISSN 0378-7788 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2015.10.006

Checchi, Francesco; Funk, Sebastian; Chandramohan, Daniel; Haydon, Daniel T; Chappuis, François; (2015) Updated estimate of the duration of the meningo-encephalitic stage in gambiense human African trypanosomiasis. BMC research notes, 8 (1). 292-. ISSN 1756-0500 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s13104-015-1244-3

Cundill, Bonnie; Alexander, Neal DE; (2015) Sample size calculations for skewed distributions. BMC medical research methodology, 15 (1). 28-. ISSN 1471-2288 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12874-015-0023-0

Deribe, Kebede; Cano, Jorge; Newport, Melanie J; Golding, Nick; Pullan, Rachel L; Sime, Heven; Gebretsadik, Abeba; Assefa, Ashenafi; Kebede, Amha; Hailu, Asrat; +9 more... Rebollo, Maria P; Shafi, Oumer; Bockarie, Moses J; Aseffa, Abraham; Hay, Simon I; Reithinger, Richard; Enquselassie, Fikre; Davey, Gail; Brooker, Simon J; (2015) Mapping and Modelling the Geographical Distribution and Environmental Limits of Podoconiosis in Ethiopia. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 9 (7). e0003946-. ISSN 1935-2727 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0003946

Drobniewski, Francis; Cooke, Mary; Jordan, Jake; Casali, Nicola; Mugwagwa, Tendai; Broda, Agnieszka; Townsend, Catherine; Sivaramakrishnan, Anand; Green, Nathan; Jit, Mark; +4 more... Lipman, Marc; Lord, Joanne; White, Peter J; Abubakar, Ibrahim; (2015) Systematic review, meta-analysis and economic modelling of molecular diagnostic tests for antibiotic resistance in tuberculosis. Health technology assessment (Winchester, England), 19 (34). 1-viii. ISSN 1366-5278 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3310/hta19340

Eggo, Rosalind M; Watson, Conall H; Camacho, Anton; Kucharski, Adam J; Funk, Sebastian; Edmunds, W John; (2015) Duration of Ebola virus RNA persistence in semen of survivors: population-level estimates and projections. Euro surveillance, 20 (48). 30083-. ISSN 1025-496X DOI: https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2015.20.48.30083

Heesterbeek, Hans; Anderson, Roy M; Andreasen, Viggo; Bansal, Shweta; De Angelis, Daniela; Dye, Chris; Eames, Ken TD; Edmunds, W John; Frost, Simon DW; Funk, Sebastian; +13 more... Hollingsworth, T Deirdre; House, Thomas; Isham, Valerie; Klepac, Petra; Lessler, Justin; Lloyd-Smith, James O; Metcalf, C Jessica E; Mollison, Denis; Pellis, Lorenzo; Pulliam, Juliet RC; Roberts, Mick G; Viboud, Cecile; Isaac Newton Institute IDD Collaboration; (2015) Modeling infectious disease dynamics in the complex landscape of global health. Science (New York, NY), 347 (6227). aaa4339-. ISSN 0036-8075 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaa4339 Full text not available from this repository.

Hollingsworth, T Déirdre; Adams, Emily R; Anderson, Roy M; Atkins, Katherine; Bartsch, Sarah; Basáñez, María-Gloria; Behrend, Matthew; Blok, David J; Chapman, Lloyd AC; Coffeng, Luc; +36 more... Courtenay, Orin; Crump, Ron E; de Vlas, Sake J; Dobson, Andy; Dyson, Louise; Farkas, Hajnal; Galvani, Alison P; Gambhir, Manoj; Gurarie, David; Irvine, Michael A; Jervis, Sarah; Keeling, Matt J; Kelly-Hope, Louise; King, Charles; Lee, Bruce Y; Le Rutte, Epke A; Lietman, Thomas M; Ndeffo-Mbah, Martial; Medley, Graham F; Michael, Edwin; Pandey, Abhishek; Peterson, Jennifer K; Pinsent, Amy; Porco, Travis C; Richardus, Jan Hendrik; Reimer, Lisa; Rock, Kat S; Singh, Brajendra K; Stolk, Wilma; Swaminathan, Subramanian; Torr, Steve J; Townsend, Jeffrey; Truscott, James; Walker, Martin; Zoueva, Alexandra; NTD Modelling Consortium; (2015) Quantitative analyses and modelling to support achievement of the 2020 goals for nine neglected tropical diseases. Parasites & vectors, 8 (1). 630-. ISSN 1756-3305 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s13071-015-1235-1

Imai, Chisato; Armstrong, Ben; Chalabi, Zaid; Mangtani, Punam; Hashizume, Masahiro; (2015) Time series regression model for infectious disease and weather. Environmental research, 142. pp. 319-327. ISSN 0013-9351 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2015.06.040

Jit, Mark; Brisson, Marc; Laprise, Jean-François; Choi, Yoon Hong; (2015) Comparison of two dose and three dose human papillomavirus vaccine schedules: cost effectiveness analysis based on transmission model. BMJ (Clinical research ed), 350 (jan06 ). g7584-. ISSN 0959-8138 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.g7584

Knight, Gwenan M; Dharan, Nila J; Fox, Gregory J; Stennis, Natalie; Zwerling, Alice; Khurana, Renuka; Dowdy, David W; (2015) Bridging the gap between evidence and policy for infectious diseases: How models can aid public health decision-making. International journal of infectious diseases, 42. pp. 17-23. ISSN 1201-9712 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2015.10.024

Kucharski, AJ; Althaus, CL; (2015) The role of superspreading in Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) transmission. Euro surveillance, 20 (25). pp. 14-18. ISSN 1025-496X DOI: https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.es2015.20.25.21167

Kucharski, Adam J; Camacho, Anton; Checchi, Francesco; Waldman, Ron; Grais, Rebecca F; Cabrol, Jean-Clement; Briand, Sylvie; Baguelin, Marc; Flasche, Stefan; Funk, Sebastian; +1 more... Edmunds, W John; (2015) Evaluation of the benefits and risks of introducing Ebola community care centers, Sierra Leone. Emerging infectious diseases, 21 (3). pp. 393-399. ISSN 1080-6040 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2103.141892

Kucharski, Adam J; Camacho, Anton; Flasche, Stefan; Glover, Rebecca E; Edmunds, W John; Funk, Sebastian; (2015) Measuring the impact of Ebola control measures in Sierra Leone. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 112 (46). pp. 14366-14371. ISSN 0027-8424 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1508814112

Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; (2015) Characterizing the transmission potential of zoonotic infections from minor outbreaks. PLoS computational biology, 11 (4). e1004154-. ISSN 1553-734X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004154

Lloyd, Simon J; Kovats, R Sari; Chalabi, Zaid; Brown, Sally; Nicholls, Robert J; (2015) Modelling the influences of climate change-associated sea-level rise and socioeconomic development on future storm surge mortality. Climatic change, 134 (3). pp. 441-455. ISSN 0165-0009 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-015-1376-4

Low, Andrea; Nagot, Nicolas; Konate, Issouf; Meda, Nicolas; Segondy, Michel; Van de Perre, Philippe; Mayaud, Philippe; Vickerman, Peter; (2015) Potential impact of existing interventions and of antiretroviral use in female sex workers on transmission of HIV in Burkina Faso: a modeling study. Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999), 68 Sup (Supple). S180-S188. ISSN 1525-4135 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1097/QAI.0000000000000441

Mendes, Diana; Bains, Iren; Vanni, Tazio; Jit, Mark; (2015) Systematic review of model-based cervical screening evaluations. BMC cancer, 15 (1). 334-. ISSN 1471-2407 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12885-015-1332-8

Mitchell, Kate M; Lépine, Aurélia; Terris-Prestholt, Fern; Torpey, Kwasi; Khamofu, Hadiza; Folayan, Morenike O; Musa, Jonah; Anenih, James; Sagay, Atiene S; Alhassan, Emmanuel; +2 more... Idoko, John; Vickerman, Peter; (2015) Modelling the impact and cost-effectiveness of combination prevention amongst HIV serodiscordant couples in Nigeria. AIDS (London, England), 29 (15). pp. 2035-2044. ISSN 0269-9370 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1097/QAD.0000000000000798

Moraga, Paula; Cano, Jorge; Baggaley, Rebecca F; Gyapong, John O; Njenga, Sammy M; Nikolay, Birgit; Davies, Emmanuel; Rebollo, Maria P; Pullan, Rachel L; Bockarie, Moses J; +3 more... Hollingsworth, T Déirdre; Gambhir, Manoj; Brooker, Simon J; (2015) Modelling the distribution and transmission intensity of lymphatic filariasis in sub-Saharan Africa prior to scaling up interventions: integrated use of geostatistical and mathematical modelling. Parasites & vectors, 8 (1). 560-. ISSN 1756-3305 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s13071-015-1166-x

Mukandavire, Zindoga; Morris, J Glenn; (2015) Modeling the Epidemiology of Cholera to Prevent Disease Transmission in Developing Countries. Microbiology spectrum, 3 (3). ISSN 2165-0497 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1128/microbiolspec.VE-0011-2014 Full text not available from this repository.

Penny, Melissa A; Verity, Robert; Bever, Caitlin A; Sauboin, Christophe; Galactionova, Katya; Flasche, Stefan; White, Michael T; Wenger, Edward A; Van de Velde, Nicolas; Pemberton-Ross, Peter; +6 more... Griffin, Jamie T; Smith, Thomas A; Eckhoff, Philip A; Muhib, Farzana; Jit, Mark; Ghani, Azra C; (2015) Public health impact and cost-effectiveness of the RTS,S/AS01 malaria vaccine: a systematic comparison of predictions from four mathematical models. Lancet, 387 (10016). pp. 367-375. ISSN 0140-6736 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(15)00725-4

Punyacharoensin, Narat; Edmunds, William John; De Angelis, Daniela; Delpech, Valerie; Hart, Graham; Elford, Jonathan; Brown, Alison; Gill, Noel; White, Richard G; (2015) Modelling the HIV epidemic among MSM in the United Kingdom: quantifying the contributions to HIV transmission to better inform prevention initiatives. AIDS (London, England), 29 (3). pp. 339-349. ISSN 0269-9370 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1097/QAD.0000000000000525 Full text not available from this repository.

Rhodes, Tim; Guise, Andy; Ndimbii, James; Strathdee, Steffanie; Ngugi, Elizabeth; Platt, Lucy; Kurth, Ann; Cleland, Charles; Vickerman, Peter; (2015) Is the promise of methadone Kenya's solution to managing HIV and addiction? A mixed-method mathematical modelling and qualitative study. BMJ open, 5 (3). e007198-. ISSN 2044-6055 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2014-007198

Rock, Kat S; le Rutte, Epke A; de Vlas, Sake J; Adams, Emily R; Medley, Graham F; Hollingsworth, T Deirdre; (2015) Uniting mathematics and biology for control of visceral leishmaniasis. Trends in parasitology, 31 (6). pp. 251-259. ISSN 1471-4922 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pt.2015.03.007

Rosello, Alicia; Mossoko, Mathias; Flasche, Stefan; Van Hoek, Albert Jan; Mbala, Placide; Camacho, Anton; Funk, Sebastian; Kucharski, Adam; Ilunga, Benoit Kebela; Edmunds, W John; +3 more... Piot, Peter; Baguelin, Marc; Tamfum, Jean-Jacques Muyembe; (2015) Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1976-2014. eLife, 4 (NOVEMB). ISSN 2050-084X DOI: https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.09015

Sadique, Zia; Harrison, David A; Grieve, Richard; Rowan, Kathryn M; Pearse, Rupert M; OPTIMISE study group; (2015) Cost-effectiveness of a cardiac output-guided haemodynamic therapy algorithm in high-risk patients undergoing major gastrointestinal surgery. Perioperative medicine (London, England), 4 (1). 13-. ISSN 2047-0525 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s13741-015-0024-x

Soares Magalhães, Ricardo J; Salamat, Maria S; Leonardo, Lydia; Gray, Darren J; Carabin, Hélène; Halton, Kate; McManus, Donald P; Williams, Gail M; Rivera, Pilarita; Saniel, Ofelia; +4 more... Hernandez, Leda; Yakob, Laith; McGarvey, Stephen T; Clements, Archie CA; (2015) Mapping the Risk of Soil-Transmitted Helminthic Infections in the Philippines. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 9 (9). e0003915-. ISSN 1935-2727 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0003915

Solomon, Anthony W; Pavluck, Alexandre L; Courtright, Paul; Aboe, Agatha; Adamu, Liknaw; Alemayehu, Wondu; Alemu, Menbere; Alexander, Neal DE; Kello, Amir Bedri; Bero, Berhanu; +36 more... Brooker, Simon J; Chu, Brian K; Dejene, Michael; Emerson, Paul M; Flueckiger, Rebecca M; Gadisa, Solomon; Gass, Katherine; Gebre, Teshome; Habtamu, Zelalem; Harvey, Erik; Haslam, Dominic; King, Jonathan D; Mesurier, Richard Le; Lewallen, Susan; Lietman, Thomas M; MacArthur, Chad; Mariotti, Silvio P; Massey, Anna; Mathieu, Els; Mekasha, Addis; Millar, Tom; Mpyet, Caleb; Muñoz, Beatriz E; Ngondi, Jeremiah; Ogden, Stephanie; Pearce, Joseph; Sarah, Virginia; Sisay, Alemayehu; Smith, Jennifer L; Taylor, Hugh R; Thomson, Jo; West, Sheila K; Willis, Rebecca; Bush, Simon; Haddad, Danny; Foster, Allen; (2015) The Global Trachoma Mapping Project: Methodology of a 34-Country Population-Based Study. Ophthalmic epidemiology, 22 (3). pp. 214-225. ISSN 0928-6586 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3109/09286586.2015.1037401

Wells, Chad; Yamin, Dan; Ndeffo-Mbah, Martial L; Wenzel, Natasha; Gaffney, Stephen G; Townsend, Jeffrey P; Meyers, Lauren Ancel; Fallah, Mosoka; Nyenswah, Tolbert G; Altice, Frederick L; +2 more... Atkins, Katherine E; Galvani, Alison P; (2015) Harnessing case isolation and ring vaccination to control Ebola. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 9 (5). e0003794-. ISSN 1935-2727 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0003794